| Ten years after the Indo-Lanka Accord: not even 
			the 'kovanam'  27 July 1997 [also
			
			in PDF] 
 The Indo-Lanka Accord was signed ten years ago. Ostensibly the 
			treaty (that's what it was and is) was meant to provide the Tamils 
			in the northeast a constitutional basis for realising "their 
			legitimate political aspirations" - as Rajiv Gandhi would have it in 
			his hey days. But in reality it brought Sri Lanka quite firmly into 
			the sphere of India's strategic and economic interests. These are of 
			course well witnessed and well documented matters. 
 The continuing relevance of the Accord is that, by the virtue of the 
			fact that it is technically a treaty, it keeps New Delhi an 
			inevitable and ultimate factor in any settlement to the ethnic 
			conflict in Sri Lanka.
 
 Here, we have to keep in mind that the Accord is a very unique 
			treaty in that it grants to one country the legal right to decide 
			the political future of a section of another country's people.
 
 Today the provincial council system which was the direct result of 
			the Accord functions in every province of the country except the 
			northeast for the people of which it was meant in the first place.
 
 The Accord is a treaty. And as such India expended vast resources to 
			sign and secure it. The thirteenth amendment to the 1978 
			constitution is the anchor and very basis of the treaty's legal 
			status. Indian bureaucrats have not, in the past, refuted the 
			conclusion which follows from this - that the repeal of the 
			thirteenth amendment would, in a fundamental way, equal the 
			unilateral abrogation of the treaty.
 
 Today Delhi may strive, through subtle diplomatic propagandising, to 
			make the PA and its Tamil cronies believe that it fully backs the 
			government's devolution package.
 
 This position would be acceptable as bona fides if Delhi can tell 
			its friends here how it would view the legal status and geopolitical 
			relevance of the Indo - Lanka treaty sans its constitutional anchor 
			- the thirteenth amendment.
 
 The ex Tamil militant groups in Colombo who keep harping on the 
			thirteenth amendment may be doing so with this particular 
			implication of the treaty in mind. All the non LTTE Tamil militant 
			groups which had engaged in an armed struggle for the separate state 
			of Thamil Eelam (or Eelam in the case of EROS and EPRLF) decided to 
			give up their secessionist cause and join the democratic mainstream 
			of the Sri Lankan polity in 1987 as a direct result of the Accord. 
			If not they would have died a slow death in exile.
 
 The armed Tamil groups which became political parties in the Sri 
			Lankan electoral system were able to do so only by convincing some 
			of their important members and hard-core supporters that an 
			acceptable alternative to a separate state could be secured through 
			the good offices and backing of the Indian government. Ten years 
			have gone by and they have nothing to show the Tamil people.
 
 "What the Indo-Lanka Accord gave us was a meagre loin cloth to cover 
			our nakedness.
 
 Today we find that even this Kovanam (amude) has been snatched from 
			us," said the leader of a Tamil party which gave up its armed 
			struggle after the accord.
 
 In this connection one must say that something that is fundamentally 
			important to Tamil politics is not taken note of in most current 
			assessments of the situation in the northeast.
 
 It is the plain fact that the LTTE continues to enjoy a considerable 
			degree of support among the Tamils which at the bottom is directly 
			connected to the perception that nothing has been achieved by the 
			mainstream Tamil political parties through peaceful means.
 
 Those who object to this general perception among the Tamils in the 
			war torn areas, however, argue that this does not justify the LTTE's 
			position politically because nothing has been secured all these 
			years through the war.
 
 The objectors, needless to say, are very much in the minority.
 
 The compelling contrast which justifies the LTTE's war to the 
			majority of people in the northeast is the way the other groups 
			which gave up the armed rebellion against the Sri Lankan state have 
			gone down the drain, as it were, unable, sometimes according to 
			their own admission, to even secure minor concessions relating to 
			the day to day woes of the Tamils.
 
 It is the Indo-Lanka Accord which helped bring into sharp focus and 
			added compelling credence to Velupillai Prabhakaran's long standing 
			belief and assertion that the Tamil cause would be forgotten and 
			crushed by the 'Sinhala state' if the armed insurrection in the 
			northeast were to be abandoned.
 
 The contrast that has emerged in these ten years since India imposed 
			the treaty on the Sri Lankan government and the Tamils is a stark 
			one between the increasing political impotence of the other ex-Tamil 
			militant groups and the growing military power of the LTTE.
 
 Some of the Tamil groups openly grumble today that they made a big 
			mistake in 1987 by saying farewell to their arms.
 
 Their chagrin means little practically except that it reflects a 
			general frustration in northeastern political circles. This 
			ultimately is what continues to lend that cogent legitimacy to the 
			LTTE's cause among the Tamils.
 
 The events which were triggered off by the Indo - Lanka accord, in 
			hindsight, have actually strengthened Prabhakaran's 'politics' since 
			1987.
 
 Another important benefit reaped by the Tigers politically in these 
			ten years is the manner in which the majority of the Tamil 
			population in the northeast has drifted away from its 
			psycho-political dependence on India.
 
 The voices which can be raised today among the Tamils to argue 
			India's centrality in any settlement to the ethnic conflict are few 
			and weak.
 
 This brings us to a scenario in which the final political resolution 
			of the northeast conflict may become further compounded. It is 
			reasonably assumed that the existence of the Indo - Lanka treaty 
			binds the Sri Lankan government to have Delhi as a party (however 
			much in the background and despite the so called Gujral Doctrine) to 
			a final settlement to the conflict. If this has to be the case then 
			there have to be among the Tamils credible political forces that can 
			legitimize and 'sell' India's role as a indirect or direct party to 
			this final settlement.
 
 But as we pointed out, those who can do this in the northeast 
			constitute an endangered political species. The EPDP leader Douglas 
			Devananda fervently argues now that the Indo Lanka treaty was a 
			golden opportunity which the EPRLF and the LTTE failed to exploit 
			for the full benefit of the Tamil people in the northeast. He also 
			speaks of resuscitating the thirteenth amendment.
 
 Devananda is not speaking through his hat. It will benefit everyone 
			who is genuinely interested in bringing peace to this country if the 
			PA determines with some finality the exact status of the thirteenth 
			amendment as the Indo - Lanka treaty's constitutional basis.
 
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