Time is running out for a peaceful political solution for 
	the long festering ethnic crisis that had eaten into the very core of the 
	Sri Lankan society rupturing the social fabric. The result had been arising 
	grave crime including white collar crime, economic depression, family 
	dislocation, general lawlessness, etc. This was the situation under the 
	Chandrika Kumaratunge regime for the last eleven years. If this trend is not 
	arrested soon, the country will slide into an abyss from which recovery on 
	any front would be impossible for another 100 years.
	
	During the Presidential election campaign the southern and south eastern 
	coastal voters who are predominantly 99% Sinhalese except for pockets of 
	Muslims in Hambantota, Galle, and Beruwela ,were expecting a change in the 
	situation of their lives consequent to the devastation caused by the 
	Tsunami. Unfortunately they became enamored by the chauvinist slogans of the 
	right wing nationalist parties like the (Jathika Vimukthi Peramuna), 
	(Jathika Hela Urumaya), (Sinhala Urumaya), which were out doing each other 
	whipping up anti-Tamil hysteria during the election campaign which ensured 
	the election of Mahinda Rajapakse for the Presidency. 
	
	The force of the chauvinist line winning over the reality of the misery of 
	the Tsunami victims becomes clear from the results, where Mahinda Rajapakse 
	received the majority of the Sinhalese votes over his rival in south and 
	south-eastern Districts with 829,562 votes against his rival�s 517,869 
	votes. 
	
This paradox occurred despite the fact that Mahinda 
	Rajapakse as the then Prime Minister was assailed from all sides for the 
	corruption and scandal in the Tsunami aid distribution and disregarding the 
	misery of the Tsunami victims and allowing his political stooges, 
	bureaucrats, and others to line up their pockets.... These facts were well 
	known to the public, but still the majority of the Sinhalese elected him 
	over his rival who was untainted by corruption.
	
	The Sinhalese psyche possess short memories, which could be gauged from the 
	fact that the they appeared to be against the continuation of the War, as 
	thousands of their youths in the army were returning home in body bags. 
	
They returned Ranil Wickremasinghe, and his United National 
	Party(UNP), to power, in the General election of December, 2001 which then 
	set about peace negotiations with the LTTE, resulting in the Cease-fire 
	agreement. 
	
Unfortunately, the then President (Chandrika Kumaratunge), 
	disrupted the process for peace when she visualized that in the event peace 
	succeeds, via Ranil Wickremasinghe, her political career would be doomed. 
	She forcibly took over the Ministries of Defense, Information and Media, and 
	Internal Security and undemocratically dissolved Parliament, despite the 
	Ranil Wickremasinghe Government holding a working majority in Parliament and 
	had two and half more years of Parliamentary life. 
	
In the April, 2004 General Elections, Ranil Wickremasinghe 
	lost the majority to the current Government. So in a brief two and half 
	year, the Sinhalese decided that the peace at least the uneasy peace that 
	was prevailing was enough and voted in the present Government for a change. 
	Perhaps for war? 
	
	The election of Mahinda Rakapakse as the new President of Sri Lanka is a 
	water-shed in the recent Sri Lankan Political history since a leader with 
	the backing of almost 100% Sinhalese electors had won a Presidency. 
	
He promised the Sinhalese electors to scrap the Cease-fire 
	Agreement (CFA) signed with the LTTE and renegotiating it, scrap the joint 
	setup with the LTTE for the re-habilitation of Victims of Tsunami called 
	P-TOMS for the Northeast of the country; disband the services of the 
	Norwegians as Peace facilitators and call on India to shoulder the 
	responsibility; maintain the Unitary structure of the Constitution without 
	devolution of power to the Tamils, rejecting autonomy for the Northeast 
	where the majority of the Tamils live. 
	
No doubt a salivating proposition to the Sinhalese Buddhist 
	chauvinists who numbered 4,887,152 at the last count. The President in his 
	inaugural address to the Nation, in the Sri Lankan Parliament reiterated 
	these promises as part of his Government�s policy. All what had been 
	achieved by the Ranil Wickremasinghe Government albeit with short comings 
	had been laid to waste, not to speak of the time, the energy, the money of 
	several nations in the process. In short he enunciated a retrograde policy 
	to confront the Tamil people of the country challenging the Tamils with a 
	take it or leave it attitude to satisfy his Sinhalese Buddhist chauvinist 
	supporters. 
	
	Subsequent events in the country clearly point out the fact that the 
	President is moving on a collision course with the LTTE and as a first step 
	hurriedly removed the Army Commander � Lieutenant General Santha Kotegoda, 
	who was involved in the then Government team during the Peace negotiations 
	and considered a peacenik, with the hawkish Colonel Sarath Fonseka, who was 
	appointed as the new Army Commander and promoted to the rank of a Lieutenant 
	General .
The Commander has asked for three months to 
	reorganize the army and prepare the army for hostilities against the LTTE. 
	The appointment of the hawkish Ratnasiri Wickramanayake as the Deputy 
	Minister of Defence, the appointment of the President�s brother as the 
	Secretary of Defense, the appointment of Kotakadeniya, the dreaded former 
	DIG and treasurer of the JHU, as an advisor on Police affairs suggests that 
	the President is appointing hardliners into the defense establishment.. 
	
As a sequel to Kotakadeniya�s appointment search operations 
	are underway and nearly 900 Tamils of both sexes have been arrested and 
	detained in Colombo .To bolster the hard-line approach, the President who is 
	also the Minister of Finance voted Rupees 91.6 Billion for Defense spending 
	under the 2005/2006 Budgetary allocation, being the highest monetary 
	allocation for Defense in its history. 
	
	Subsequent to the appointment of the new Army Commander, he beefed up his 
	units in Jaffna .Reports speak of Army movements to strategic locations in 
	Jaffna with heavy weapons being moved in from the main Army camp at Palaly 
	and army personnel taking up positions as well as undertaking intense 
	patrolling of the regions. Civilians engaged in their day to day routine in 
	Jaffna District were stopped, subjected to body search and questioning. 
	
Girls and young women were molested during these body 
	searches, while men were harassed and threatened at gun point. Under the 
	guise of the High Security Zone, productive land had been made a no-go area 
	for civilians. The owners of these lands have been denied their livelihood 
	and from 1995 onwards are now living as refugees in camps. Likewise, people 
	who earn their livelihood by Fishing have been effectively blocked, since 
	they are allowed to go to sea during day time and that too within a 2 mile 
	limit, when there is the least likelihood of catching fish. 
	
What fish is caught, the Navy personnel who keep a close 
	watch on the fishing boats forcibly take away a part of it for their 
	consumption. The worst affected was education , since Tamil society as a 
	whole is education oriented and any disruption is viewed as an assault on 
	the on the Tamil culture, since pride of place is given to education over 
	other achievements. 
	
	There is also a sinister design in place by the Srilankan regime to disrupt 
	the educational base of the Tamils, so that in due course of time the Tamil 
	population would be left with dunderheads and easily maneuvered into a state 
	of passive submission. This could be the reason why leading boys� school � 
	Heartly College and its sister institution Methodist Girls� College, have 
	been included into the High Security Zone, with barbed wire fences all 
	around it often resulting in undue intrusion by the Army into the schools 
	and disrupting studies. 
	
The latest is a bund right across the play grounds, which is 
	more a shortcut to the school by the students to by pass the Army sentry 
	points close to the schools. Likewise several leading schools in Jaffna city 
	have been subjected to the focus of the Army resulting in the students being 
	attacked by the Army personnel. 
	
	The most recent worst case scenario was when the body of a 20 year old girl 
	was detected in a deep well close to the Navy camp in the village of 
	Punkudutivu. Forensic examination reveals
	
	that she had been raped and murdered, pointing to culprits in the Navy 
	camp close by. 
	
This incensed the Tamil public that the students of the 
	Jaffna University and the Technical College were making arrangements to go 
	over to Punkudutivu, when the Army intervened and stopped them from leaving. 
	The following day, the entire University population, including the Vice 
	Chancellor, the Dons and Lectures and were marching in a procession towards 
	the Sri Lanka Monitoring Mission were forcibly stopped from marching with a 
	tear gas attack and then shot at.
	
	The Vice Chancellor, Lectures and several students were injured in the 
	attack.
	
	Tension has risen to such heights that it is neigh impossible to contain the 
	Tamil peoples� resentment towards the Sinhalese Army of occupation any more, 
	resulting in the present violent reaction by the People. It appears that the 
	basis for any chance for a lasting peace in the country had been wiped clean 
	by the obstinate attitude by President Mahinda Rajapakse and his Defense 
	establishment. 
	
	The Tamils in Srilanka are constrained to believe that they could live with 
	respect and honor only under a separate state of their own.The LTTE�s two 
	Nations policy appears to be close to realization.