CONTENTS
OF THIS SECTION
04/06/09 |
Tracking New Delhi's
Pursuit of its Strategic Interests... |
1.Narayan Swamy in Hindustan Times -
Western diplomats must boycott LTTE, says Colombo, 27 August 2005 |
2.
The Spin and Swing of
RAW Orchestra - Sachi Sri Kantha, 27 August 2005 |
3.P.K.Balachandran in Hindustan Times -
India
& Sri Lanka Opposition agree on Peace Process , 25
August 2005
" New Delhi is said to be unhappy with the
performance of the "co-chair" of the June 2003 Tokyo Aid
Lanka conference. The co-chair (US, EU,
Japan and Norway) have arrogated to themselves a role not
assigned to them. They style themselves as the
"international community" and strut about as the "co-chair
of the Sri Lankan peace process".
more |
4. Sachi Sri Kantha -
Pigs are Flying in
Batticaloa!, 28 July 2005 |
5.
யாழ்ப்பாணத்தில் 'றோ'வின் கண்கள்
-
New Delhi's RAW in Jaffna, 1 April 2005 |
6.
Tsunami & the "Killing" of Pirapaharan! - New
Delhi's RAW & the Media...
7 January 2005 |
7.Sachi Sri Kantha -
The RAW Factor in Col.Karuna's Revolt, 1 April 2004 |
8.
Jyotindra Nath Dixit,
Indian High Commissioner in Sri Lanka 1985 /89,
Foreign Secretary in 1991/94 and National
Security Adviser to the Prime Minister of India 2004/05 - in
1998 Seminar in Switzerland "...Tamil militancy
received (India's) support ...as a response to
(Sri Lanka's).. concrete and expanded military and
intelligence cooperation with the United States, Israel
and Pakistan. ...The assessment was that these presences
would pose a strategic threat to India and they would
encourage fissiparous movements in the southern states
of India. .. a process which could have found
encouragement from Pakistan and the US, given India's
experience regarding their policies in relation to
Kashmir and the Punjab.... Inter-state
relations are not governed by the logic of
morality. They were and they remain an
amoral phenomenon....." |
Retired Colonel R.
Hariharan |
Retired Colonel R.
Hariharan is an intelligence analyst with nearly three
decades of service in the Intelligence Corps of the Indian
Army. He was a military intelligence specialist on
Bangladesh, Burma and Sri Lanka as well as an insurgency
intelligence specialist. Apart from operational experience
in the India-Pakistan wars in 1965 and 1971, he served in
active field and staff appointments in counter-insurgency
operations in the Assam, Manipur, Mizoram, Nagaland, Punjab
and Tripura states of India. He served as the Head of
Intelligence of the Indian Peacekeeping Force (1987-90) in
Sri Lanka. His paper "Future dimensions of conflict in Sri
Lanka" has been included in the recent Tata McGraw Hill
publication "Conflict Resolution and Peace Building in Sri
Lanka" (2005). |
Other Writings by
Retired Colonel R. Hariharan |
Karuna
in Politics: Old War Horse in A New Mantle, 19
October 2004 "...Prabhakaran is largely a mythical figure
who had never visited the East and made personal appeal to
the people. So over a period of time, Prabhakaran’s negative
image as a distant leader neglecting the East may find some
buyers. But much would depend upon who establishes military
control at the ground level to dominate the Tamil and Muslim
areas. With the LTTE in nebulous control of the populated
coastal strip from Verugal to Kalkudah, the game is not over
for Karuna..." |
Karuna
in a No-Win Situation 13 November
2004 "..Can Karuna build a viable political base in
the East, to become a factor to be reckoned with when the
peace parleys resume? .." |
Exercising the Hard Option in Sri Lanka,
27 December 2004 "...we have an asymmetric situation in Sri
Lanka. On the one side we have a democratically elected
government accountable to voters, where power hungry
politicians have to work out a consensus and sell it to the
public and muster their majority support. The government is
accountable to international community for all its actions
in times of both peace and war. On the other side is ranged
a fighting machine – a monolithic organisation, where
accountability to either national or international community
is the strong point. A man who has no faith in democratic
process or in building political consensus leads it. He is
not swayed by nuances of logic or dialectical reasoning in
decision making. His decisions are often made for reasons of
gaining military advantage and political power for the
organisation..." |
Tsunami: Security Implications In Sri Lanka,
5 January 2005 "... In the words of a foreign media
reporter, “Within minutes of the disaster, soldiers of the
Liberation Tigers for Tamil Eelam, or LTTE, were evacuating
survivors and pulling bodies from the still-roiling water,
villagers and aid workers said. In a well-practised drill,
squads set up roadblocks to control panic and prevent
looting. Others requisitioned civilian vehicles to move the
injured to hospitals. Many donated blood… By the end of the
first day, the first refugee centres were set up. Women in
the Tigers' camouflage uniforms began registering the
survivors and recording the relief items they received -
ensuring no one got more than he should.” This is an
indicator of high standard of LTTE’s discipline and
efficiency..." |
Tsunami: Politics of Relief in Sri Lanka
21January 2005 |
|
|
Sri Lanka: Taking Stock of L.T.T.E.
Colonel (Retd) R. Hariharan,
formerly of the Intelligence Corps of the Indian Army
"Whatever may be said, whosoever may say it
- to
determine the truth of it, is wisdom" -
Thirukural
Courtesy:
Power and Interest News Report
- "(PINR) is a global organization that provides analyses of
conflicts and other international events. We are currently
independently funded giving us the freedom to analyze
objectively. PINR seeks to provide insight into various
conflicts, regions and points of interest around the globe. We
approach a subject based upon the powers and interests involved,
leaving the moral judgments to the reader."
note by
tamilnation.org
-
the links and emphasis in the article are ours. |
29 July 2005
The
Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (L.T.T.E.), popularly
called the Tigers, is perhaps the world's best-organized, if
not largest, insurgent force. L.T.T.E. insurgents have been
fighting in Sri Lanka for an independent Tamil Eelam
(literally Tamil Homeland) for three decades. By their
attacks and use of terror tactics, the Tigers found a place
in the
U.S. list of global terrorist organizations from 1997
onwards. L.T.T.E. has refined the use of suicide bombs to
carry out 230 attacks to date. Victims of such suicide
attacks include former Indian
Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi, Sri Lankan President
Ranasinghe Premadasa and a few other key personalities in
Sri Lanka.
Background of L.T.T.E.
Sinhalese, who are mostly Buddhist,
dominate Sri Lanka.
This ethnic group forms approximately 74 percent of the
population; Tamils, who are mostly Hindu and Christian,
comprise about 18 percent. After Sri Lanka attained
independence in 1948, Sinhalese nationalism became
progressively strident. The Tamil struggle for equal rights
came to the fore when
Sinhalese, the
language of the majority, was declared the sole official
language in 1956. Demanding a federal status for the
Tamil-dominant northern and eastern parts of the
country, Tamils carried on the struggle politically through
the Federal Party in parliament. However, the government
failed to keep up its promises to give them a fair share
of autonomy.
The
frustrated Tamil politicians formed the Tamil United
Liberation Front (T.U.L.F.) as a unified political party
demanding an independent Tamil Eelam. In the elections in
1977, T.U.L.F. won all the seats on their
political manifesto of secession. However, when T.U.L.F.
could not progress the issue further, Tamil militant groups
slowly gained the upper hand.
In 1983, when 13 soldiers were killed in an ambush by the
L.T.T.E. in the north, riots broke out in Colombo.
Unprecedented violence was unleashed by rampaging
Sinhalese mobs, which looted and destroyed Tamil property
and businesses. Tamils in the hundreds were killed.
Thousands of Tamil refugees fled to Tamil Nadu in India.
From that point on, the Tamil insurgency became
a
full-blown war to gain a free homeland for Tamils with
L.T.T.E. in the forefront of the struggle.Comment
1 L.T.T.E. Joins Ceasefire with Government
Prompted by the global "war on terrorism" that was
spearheaded by the U.S. after the
September 11 attacks, L.T.T.E. entered into
a ceasefire agreement with the Sri Lankan government in
February 2002.
Norwegian mediators brought this about after a series of
meetings with both sides from 2000 onwards.
Comment
2 L.T.T.E. entered the peace process in 2002 in a position of
strength after
registering resounding victories in conventional operations
in April 2000 where they
captured Elephant Pass, a vital point astride the narrow
link between the Jaffna Peninsula and the mainland. This was
followed in July 2000 by an equally successful suicide
attack on Katunayake international airport in Colombo
killing 14 people and damaging a score of civilian aircraft.
Comment
3 A key feature of the peace process this time
was L.T.T.E.'s readiness to examine a solution within a
federal set up in Sri Lanka as against its basic quest for
an independent Tamil Eelam. L.T.T.E. has had difficulty enduring the peace agreement
because they had diluted their stated goal of independence
to negotiate for a federal solution. .
Comment 4 The problems they face
are two fold:
- effective handling of peace
negotiations to achieve a face saving result and
- sustaining operational readiness and
motivation of cadres for forcing a solution in case the
talks fail. Handling of Peace Negotiations
L.T.T.E. is not new to handling mediation or peace talks. In
the past, two internal efforts (President
Premadasa-L.T.T.E. in 1989-90 and
President Chandrika Kumaratunga-L.T.T.E. in 1994-95) at
peacemaking had failed.
There were two other third party mediation
initiatives; India's efforts from
1983 to 1987 and after the
Indo-Sri Lanka Accord from 1987-90 also did not bring
peace. There was also an abortive British effort by
conservative politician Liam Fox in 1996-97 that did not
take off.
However, this time L.T.T.E. appeared to have become
wiser in handling negotiations. The Norwegian mediators
had set for themselves a limited task of initiating a
dialogue between the Sri Lankan government and L.T.T.E.
aimed at resolving the ethnic problem. The Norwegians
established the
Sri Lanka Monitoring Mission (S.L.M.M.)
comprising of observers from five Nordic countries to
oversee the maintenance of the ceasefire. Their aim was only
to monitor and not ensure a ceasefire, a task left to
the two opponents.
There were six rounds of talks between L.T.T.E. and the Sri
Lankan government. These talks were mainly concerned with
procedural aspects of the talks and confidence building
measures. No progress was made on the question of devolution
of powers to the Tamils, the core issue. The war for Tamil
Eelam has already claimed over 60,000 lives. According to
L.T.T.E., it has lost 14,355 cadres as of December 2000.
Having sacrificed so many lives, L.T.T.E. in this round of
peace negotiations has to find
a face saving
solution that will gain a status just short of outright
independence. Otherwise its credibility with Tamils would be
lost.
Perhaps with this at the back of its mind, L.T.T.E.
submitted a proposal for establishing a L.T.T.E.-dominated
Interim Self Governing Authority (I.S.G.A.), which
suggested handing over the administration of the entire
northeast province to the I.S.G.A. until a final solution
emerges through the peace negotiations. As acceptance of
I.S.G.A. would result in the loss of sovereign control of
the entire northeast province, the Sri Lankan government
could not readily accept the proposal.
Though it was ready to discuss the proposal with
L.T.T.E., the insurgents called off further
participation in the talks
unless
the government accepted the I.S.G.A. proposal first.
Comment 5 The I.S.G.A. proposal has split the Sri Lankan polity
vertically, causing further delay in resuming the
negotiations. The Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (J.V.P.),
partner of the ruling United Peoples Freedom Alliance
coalition and
vehemently
opposed to both a federal form of government as
well as the I.S.G.A., has broken away from the
coalition. On the same count,
right-wing Buddhist elements have taken their opposition
to the streets. Thus, by this single act, L.T.T.E. has split
the Sinhalese from coming together on the negotiating table.
Comment 6
L.T.T.E. had to bear the brunt of the
Boxer Day tsunami
that struck the island's eastern seaboard. Its limited
sources could not cope with the gigantic task of relief as
it was the Tamil and Muslim populations in the east that
suffered from the brunt of the tsunami.
International
pressure was brought upon the government to evolve a working
structure to funnel relief resources through L.T.T.E. The
Post-Tsunami Operational Management Structure, with a
strong say for L.T.T.E., has
now come into force six months after the tsunami struck.
Comment 7
This can be considered a success for L.T.T.E. which can
showcase its ability to administer in peace times not only
to the people of Sri Lanka, but also worldwide.
Overall L.T.T.E. appears to have come out in a better
position, retaining the initiative to resume the talks in
their hands with a proactive strategy.
Since the ceasefire came into force in 2002, L.T.T.E. has
used the limited mandate of the Norwegians to gain political
and military advantages. These advantages are as follows:
1. To gain a status for L.T.T.E. as an
equal party as the sole representative of Tamils and the
northeast in the peace parleys. This was done adroitly
after getting the existing ban on the organization
lifted in Sri Lanka. All the Tamil political parties
were corralled
and coerced to join the Tamil National Alliance --
an L.T.T.E. sponsored coalition in parliament.
2. To build the military infrastructure and gain freedom
of movement for L.T.T.E. forces outside the areas under
their control in the northeast. Three to four battalions
have been added through recruitment --
many
of them child soldiers. New weapons have been
imported and introduced. Radio communication capability
has been improved. The right to move their small naval
force -- the Sea Tigers -- in Sri Lankan waters has been
asserted, in addition to their case in building up their
nascent air capability despite objections from the
mediators.
3. To build up a direct relationship with some of the
E.U. countries that could help in shaping the course of
the peace process to L.T.T.E.'s advantage. To a certain
extent they have succeeded in being able to
directly
brief governments in some European countries on
important issues affecting L.T.T.E. This has also helped
L.T.T.E. reshape its public image as a tough group of
negotiators supported by a powerful and strong
monolithic organization rather than as an arms-bristling
terrorist organization.
According to the S.L.M.M., L.T.T.E. has
committed over 2900 ceasefire violations since the ceasefire
came into force. In addition to this, L.T.T.E. has been
accused of killing nearly 200 people, most of them opposed
to L.T.T.E. including Sri Lankan security forces'
intelligence operatives. L.T.T.E. has also recruited over
1200 child soldiers, which created a worldwide outcry from
non-governmental organizations. The Norwegian mediators have
drawn flak for not being able to prevent L.T.T.E. from these
acts.
The Sri Lankan government also has its record of ceasefire
violations. They mostly pertain to harassment of the Tamil
civilian population by troops, extortion, restriction on
movement and fishing, and a few abductions. But more serious
on its part is its failure to vacate the High Security Zones
-- civilian Tamil areas occupied by Sri Lankan troops in the
forward lines of the ceasefire -- as agreed in the ceasefire
agreement.
Sri Lankan military intelligence is believed to be behind
the retaliatory killings of some of the key L.T.T.E. leaders
in the east. It is also accused of being involved in killing
some of the prominent pro-L.T.T.E.
Tamil
personalities like
D.P. Sivaram,
the well-known columnist and editor of the pro-L.T.T.E.
website TamilNet.
Sustaining Operational Motivation of Cadres
Perhaps this is one area where L.T.T.E. has not been able to
score fully.
Vinayagamoorthy Muralitharan, alias Colonel Karuna, who
was in charge of L.T.T.E.'s military operations in the
Eastern Province, fell out with the leadership of Chief
Velupillai Prabhakaran. He was expelled from L.T.T.E. in
March 2004. This was a major blow to the L.T.T.E.
Karuna raised the issue of discriminatory
treatment meted out in L.T.T.E. to the eastern Tamils, a
traditional grievance of Tamils there, as the reason for
quitting L.T.T.E. He took a large number of cadres from the
east, depleting L.T.T.E.'s strength in that region. He also
has eluded repeated L.T.T.E. attempts to kill him and his
followers.
Though Karuna has lost support from some key leaders,
he and his
group have made it untenable for L.T.T.E. to move around
freely in the east, let alone dominate their strongholds
there. The situation created by the "war of the Tamils" has
made it difficult for L.T.T.E. to assert its military
influence in the east; this will affect its negotiating
position when the talks resume. Thus, L.T.T.E. will probably
like to regain control of the east before resuming peace
talks.
A second aspect is the peacetime administration of the areas
under L.T.T.E. control. Currently, L.T.T.E. has employed
civilian cadres of administrators who are gaining importance
through their interaction with the people. L.T.T.E. is a
secretive organization and its fighting elements do not mix
with people except on controlled situations. So the "peace
pause" leaves the armed cadres with nothing much to do, not
even the glory of fighting for their Eelam. The longer the talks remain
suspended, the more frustrated the rank and file of
L.T.T.E. will become.
The terrorist killings and assassinations
are perhaps one way to remind them that the war has not been
won yet. Introduction of new weapons, and training the
cadres to attain proficiency in them, are some of the other
methods adopted to sustain motivation.
L.T.T.E. has a
worldwide network for arms procurement and its own fleet
of 11 freighters to supply the organization. Therefore, it
has retained its ability to support military operations.
However, its financial support that comes from the
Tamil diaspora is
under pressure due to the banning of open L.T.T.E.-support
activities in many countries. In some states like Australia,
Canada, and Norway, citizens of Eelam Tamil origin have
managed to influence
the local politicians to support the L.T.T.E. cause.
Conclusion
Over the years, L.T.T.E. appears to have gained an edge on
the Sri Lankan government. Though it has deferred its long
cherished goal of an independent Tamil homeland for a
solution within a federal Sri Lanka, it has retained the
negotiating initiative in its hands.
L.T.T.E. has taken full advantage of the absence of a
force to ensure the ceasefire terms are not violated by
carrying out selective assassinations that could affect the
Sri Lankan Security Force's capability to wage war
effectively.
Comment 8
It has also increased its strength and
wartime capability by strengthening its sea and air
capabilities. Thus, it has emerged as the world's first (and
probably only) insurgent force with capability to fight on
land, sea and air.
However, the organization is yet to overcome the damage
created by the defection of the
powerful
eastern commander Karuna from its ranks. This will
weaken its negotiating strength as the sole representative
of Tamil people in the northeast. It will also affect its
military capability adversely in the east if and when it has
to resort to the military option. Therefore, it will have to
overcome Karuna and his followers before it can resume
negotiations from a position of strength.
Comment 9
|
Comment
6
It appears somewhat disingenuous to
suggest that it was the LTTE, which by the single act of proposing
the ISGA 'split the Sinhalese from coming together on the
negotiating table.' The
40
year record of broken pacts and promises speaks for
itself. So too does the
record
of Sinhala Buddhist chauvinism. The views of the Co-Chairs of the Tokyo Donor Conference
on 15 December 2004 may help to focus minds on the
political reality -
"The representatives of three of the four co-chairs of the Tokyo
Donors Conference (Japan, EU and US) called on Her Excellency President
Kumaratunga on December 14. ..They expressed deep concern about the
ongoing JVP-led actions against
the peace process in Sri Lanka and the Government of Norway's efforts as
facilitator of that process.
The representatives expressed bewilderment that a member party of the UPFA could engage in such a campaign in absolute contradiction of the
clearly stated position of the President and the Government that they
endorse and support the Norwegian role..."
back |
|
Comment
7
It is incorrect to state that the P-TOMS
Agreement is in force. (In end July 2005), seven months after the Tsunami
struck and one month after the P-TOMS Agreement was signed, the
Agreement remains a dead letter. The President having signed
the Agreement on 24 June 2005, soon thereafter informed the
Norwegian facilitators that she wanted Article 7 of the
signed agreement dealing
with the Regional Fund amended. And
a few days President Kumaratunga's request,
the Supreme Court issued a stay order
in respect of Article 7 and rendered the P-TOMS Agreement unworkable.
back |
Comment
8
The
implication appears to be that there is a need to induct
a Peace Keeping Force or perhaps an Indian Peace Keeping
Force. back |
Comment
9
Colonel Harihan concludes
"Therefore, it (the LTTE) will have to overcome Karuna and
his followers before it can resume negotiations from a
position of strength" Given that which appears from
-
some may take the view that
for "Karuna" we may need to read
"RAW". S.Sivakumaran's remarks in
Pigs are Flying in Batticaloa!
bear repetition here -
"....
the entire puppet show is being run by the
Indians (UNP, SLFP, JVP- on the Sinhalese side; Karuna,
Anandasangaree and other Tamil paramilitaries, on the Tamil side).
This is an open secret to all in Sri Lanka. So, now the only game in
town is LTTE (Eelam Tamils) vs Indian tentacles, namely - the
RAW.
Now, RAW has access to any place or any facility in Sri Lanka,
except in LTTE-controlled areas. Karuna cannot be (need not be) in Sri Lanka. He is only
a faceless phantom figure used by the Indians (and Sinhalese) to break-
up the Tamil solidarity, mainly the North and East bond and linkage.
It was reported in July/August 2004 that Karuna’s
wife had left for Malaysia with a few bags full of cash. This "bags
full of cash" part of the Sinhalese media story was to stress that
Karuna’s wife had gone to Malaysia with this booty. Most probably it
appears that Karuna and his family has landed in India, well guarded
by RAW, using Malaysia as a transit point; and RAW guys had worked
this in the past, to Varatharaja Perumal (EPRLF).... Like how Varatharaja Perumal was kept in cold storage
during 1990s, Karuna is being kept now, in one of the North Indian
states..." |
Additionally it may be
helpful to revisit the words of a Senior member of the Liberation Tigers of
Tamil Eelam, V. Balakumaran in
Oslo on
29 August 2004 and inquire whether these words reflect
the ground reality or simply amount to empty
rhetoric -
"...LTTE
has been successfully resisting attempts to weaken its military
and political strength during the peace time with the same
courage and bravery it displayed during the time of war. Tamils
seek a just peace and not a peace with surrender. LTTE
leadership will not relent until political and social dignity is
restored to the lives of Tamil people. We are not 'Vadi Kattina
Mutalkal'. We are not stupid. The world has not come to Sri
Lanka to save the Tamils. They have come to save Sri Lanka... We have
only one country to help us - and that is Sri Lanka (loud
laughter) It is difficult to win against an
intelligent and strong soldier. Today, the Tamil community has
matured to that state... We are charting our path successfully
towards our nationhood and are in the verge of entering a new
era. Every Tamil should be cognizant of our strength and be
aware of where we are in our mission...
Palestinians have
a lot of resources and have the backing of many
countries that support their political
aspirations. Still they are politically weak and
are not united. Liberation Tigers will not allow
such a situation to develop in the Tamil
homeland..."
back |
|
|
Comment
by
tamilnation.org
A Matter of Taking Stock |
Comment
1
It may be helpful not only to
take stock of the LTTE but also to
take stock of India
so that we may
truly understand the Sri Lanka -LTTE situation. Otherwise we may be left with the feeling of
watching
Hamlet without the Prince of Denmark. This is particularly
so where the writer of the scenario is a retired Colonel of the
Intelligence Corps of the Indian Army who served as the Head of
Intelligence of the Indian Peacekeeping Force (1987-90) in
Sri Lanka.
Jyotindra Nath Dixit,
Indian Foreign Secretary 1991/94, National
Security Adviser 2004/05, and Indian High
Commissioner in Colombo 1985 /89, (during the IPKF period) was
refreshingly frank in 1998 in Switzerland
at an International Alert Conference. He declared
"..(In the 1980s) ...Tamil militancy
received support both from Tamil Nadu and from the Central Government not only as
a response to the Sri Lankan Government's military assertiveness
against Sri Lankan Tamils, but also as a response to Jayawardene's concrete and expanded military and intelligence
cooperation with the United States, Israel and Pakistan. ...The
assessment was that these presences would pose a strategic
threat to India and they would encourage fissiparous
movements in the southern states of India. .. a process which
could have found encouragement from Pakistan and the US, given
India's experience regarding their policies in relation to
Kashmir and the Punjab.... In normal terns of international
law and principles of neutrality was Mrs. Gandhi correct in
giving political and material support to Sri Lankan Tamils ? The
answer is obvious and has to be in the negative. ..Had Sri Lanka
been several hundred miles away from the coast of India this
approach could have been adopted. But Sri Lanka was only 18
miles away from Tamil Nadu. Inter-state relations are not
governed by the logic of morality. They were and they
remain an amoral phenomenon. " |
A dictionary definition of
'amoral' is 'unprincipled'. And, despite the ending of the Cold War,
it appears that the situation has not
changed in so far as the fundamentals are concerned.
On the one hand, as Noam Chomsky has observed,
US foreign policy is
directed to build on its current position as the sole surviving super power and
secure a unipolar world for the foreseeable future.
And this means preventing the rise
of regional hegemons. On the other hand, the
central plank of New
Delhi's foreign policy is to deny any (independent) intermediary role to
extra regional powers in the affairs of South Asia and also to encourage the
emergence of a multi
lateral world. Indian Prime Minister Manmahon Singh remarked recently
that he preferred the word 'multilateral' to 'multi polar'. In this latter objective, New Delhi may count on the
'calibrated' support of
the European Union,
Russia,
China
and Iran amongst others.
The ' calibrated approach' is ofcourse non alignment in a
different garb. A calibrated approach is an 'issue based' approach
without committing oneself to permanent alignments - and in this way
secure one's own freedom of action in a changing environment. It may be
that liberation organisations too have learnt to adopt a calibrated
approach in their dealings in the international arena.
Be that as it may, given the difference in the end goals that US and India
have, it should not be surprising if
the policies of the United States and
New Delhi in relation to Sri Lanka and the LTTE are not always congruent.
But that is not to
say that the United States will not cooperate with
India. It will. It will seek to cooperate 'as a super power' - and
the US believes that it has sufficient instruments in its
armoury to do just that. One
such instrument is the
Norwegian
sponsored Peace Process.
This may explain the consistently enthusiastic
support that the Peace process has received from the United States and
the more muted (and calibrated) support from India. This may also
help us understand the current
covert operations of RAW
in Tamil areas in the island of Sri Lanka and the material support
extended by India to Sinhala governments and Sri Lanka political
parties. In the 1980s, RAW gave covert material and financial support to
the Tamil militants to secure the same end -Indian hegemony
in the Indian Ocean region. It appears that New Delhi's interests remain permanent,
though its 'friends' may change from time to time. -
back |
Comment 2
Colonel Hariharan states -
"Prompted by the global 'war on terrorism' that was
spearheaded by the U.S. after the
September 11 attacks, L.T.T.E. entered into
a ceasefire agreement with the Sri Lankan government in
February 2002."
But what are the facts? The meetings with
the Norwegian mediators commenced in 2000, long before 11
September 2001 and were the direct result of the stunning military victories by the LTTE in 2000
commencing with
the fall of Elephant Pass in April 2000.
The US Under Secretary of State,
Thomas R. Pickering's visit to Sri Lanka and his comments at the
Press Conference in Colombo on 29 May
2000 reflected the impact of the LTTE victories. -
"Q: Ms.
Vandana Chopra, VOA: Does the United States want
India to go in for military intervention?
A:
Pickering: I think that's a situation in which India
has already made clear its position -- that it
doesn't intend to. And I think, as I said a moment
ago, we defer to India as a country of regional
consequence to make its own decisions on these
issues.
Q: Mr. Dilip Ganguly, AP Colombo Bureau Chief: If it
comes to evacuating the (Sri Lanka) troops-- in the
event it happens -- will the Indian assistance be
forthcoming? Did you get that idea?
A.Pickering: I have the impression that the Indians
are prepared to be helpful, provided that both
parties are prepared to provide security assurances
that the Indians will not become a party to fighting
by doing so. And I can understand India's concern
about not wanting to become a third party in the
conflict, if I could put it that way. " |
The
US based Centre for Strategic &
International Studies
commented in June 2000
"The
dramatic advance of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) into the
Jaffna peninsula, the heart of the Tamil area, is a shattering blow for
Sri Lanka's President Chandrika Kumaratunga and raises concerns of
regional instability for India." |
In October 2000, Miriam Young, of the US based Asia Pacific
Center for Justice and Peace added
"it
would be helpful for the U.S. to find a way to open a
channel of communication with the LTTE, as it has done with
other guerrilla groups in the past. The willingness of many
countries to concur with the Sri Lankan government’s demonization
of the LTTE will not lead to an environment conducive to
negotiations, and Washington should avoid such a one-sided
approach..." |
This was the background in
which the
LTTE leader met with the Norwegian Peace envoy in
November 2000 and the LTTE called for de escalation
of the armed conflict. This was followed
by a
proposal for Memorandum of Understanding
presented by Raymond Johansen, Norwegian Deputy
Minister of Foreign Affairs, to Mr.V.Pirabhakaran, Leader of LTTE .
But Sri Lanka refused to enter
into a ceasefire. Sri Lanka Foreign Minister, Lakshman Kadirgamar
famously remarked
in December 2000-
"
As the Foreign Minister
of Sri Lanka, I do not welcome statements made by people outside the country,
even though they come from very friendly countries, prescribing remedies for
our problem....The LTTE are not babies conducting a war
by accident, but are capable of coming for talks
while continuing fighting.."
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Faced with this
intransigence, the LTTE
declared
a month long unilateral ceasefire as a goodwill measure to
facilitate
peace talks on 21 December 2000. Though Sri Lanka
rejected the goodwill gesture, the LTTE continued to
observe the ceasefire and
urged Sri Lanka to reconsider its position and 'reciprocate positively
..to create cordial conditions leading to a stable
cease-fire and direct negotiations..."
On 5 January
2001, Sri Lanka Foreign Minister
dismissed the LTTE offer of a ceasefire as opportunistic.
On 23 January 2001 the
LTTE
extended its unilateral cessation of hostilities for
another month and "called upon the international
community to persuade the Sri Lanka government to
reciprocate favourably". Norwegian peace envoy
Eric Solheim remarked in March 2001,
that "though the LTTE has been observing a ceasefire for
the past three months, Sri Lanka has not taken any steps
towards peace".
Eventually,
on 23 April 2001 the LTTE
announced that in view of the lack of response from Sri
Lanka, it will not be extending its unilateral ceasefire
when it expired on 24 April 2001.
The reason for Sri
Lanka refusing to reciprocate the ceasefire became clear
just a few hours after the termination of the LTTE's four
months old cease-fire. In the early hours of the morning on the 24th April,
thousands of Sri Lankan troops of the SLA's 52, 53 and 55 Divisions, in a major
show of strength, supported by heavy artillery, multi-barrel rocket fire and
aerial and naval bombardment, launched a major offensive assault against the
LTTE positions in southern Jaffna. The offensive was repulsed by the LTTE and
the
Sri Lanka army suffered
yet another major debacle.
And on 24
July 2001, the LTTE launched a
massive attack on Katunayake Airport which destroyed
18 aircraft and the government estimated the initial
damage cost at 539.3 million US dollars.
On 6 November
2001, Sri Lankan Foreign Minister, Mr. Lakshman Kadirgamar
"blamed a
lack of political will for the collapse of a bid by Norway to end his country's
18-year ethnic war." On 9 November 2001, he said that the
military operation, launched against the LTTE in April,
was a mistake which had
caused a set-back to the Norwegian- facilitated process for peace talks. He did
not elaborate on whose mistake it was - and how it came
about.
Meanwhile, defections
by Ministers in her Cabinet, resulted in President Kumaratunga's SLFP led government losing its
majority in Parliament and in the ensuing general election in
December 2001, a new government led by the United
National Party
with a mandate to end the war and
a new Prime Minister
was elected The
Ceasefire was signed between the LTTE and new Government
in February 2002.
A few
weeks later,
in a letter to Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe, President Kumaratunga reiterated her
complaint that she was not properly consulted before
Wickremesinghe committed the Colombo government to a ceasefire
with the LTTE. Additionally she criticised the powers given to Norway through a
monitoring mission to demarcate "lines of
control" within Sri Lanka that would separate
government-held areas and rebel-held areas.
Sufficient, has been said to establish that there is
nothing to show that in signing the Ceasefire
Agreement in February 2002
the LTTE was "prompted by the global
'war on terrorism' that was
spearheaded by the U.S. after the
September 11 attacks".
For one thing, the LTTE had declared a
unilateral ceasefire long before the 9/11 attacks.
For another, it was the Sri Lanka government
of President Kumaratunga which did not reciprocate
and which sought to pursue the military option. The
debacle suffered by the Sri Lanka army in April 2001
(coming on top of the earlier Elephant Pass loss)
and the successful LTTE attack on Katunayake forced
a rethink and 'prompted' the new (West leaning) UNP government to
reciprocate the offer made by the LTTE and enter
into a Ceasefire.
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Comment 3
Colonel Hariharan is right to point out that the LTTE entered the peace process in
2002 from a position of strength. In fact it was that position
of strength that led the international community,
which had been content earlier to bank roll Sri Lanka's
war effort, to 'persuade' Sri Lanka to eventually sign the
Ceasefire agreement and enter the Peace Process. Here
Sri Lanka Prime Minister, Ranil Wickremasinghe's remarks
in the Sri Lanka Parliament on 3 March 2002 are
relevant:
"...While the Sri Lanka
Government is responsible for the civil administration
throughout the country, we have no control over law and
order on significant portions of land in the North and East.
The armed units of the LTTE dominate these areas. The armed
forces have so far been unable to regain control. We all
know this is the reality but we do not want to speak about
it. We have been fooling the people and in the process we
have fooled ourselves..."
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Comment
4 The LTTE itself has
always denied any change in its policy.
Velupillai Pirabakaran, LTTE Leader,
Maha Veerar Naal Address - November 27, 2002
"The objective of our struggle is based on the concept of
self-determination as articulated in the UN Charter and other instruments. We
have always been consistent with our policy with regard to our struggle for
self-determination. Tamil homeland, Tamil nationality and Tamils’ right to
self-determination are the fundamentals underlying our political struggle. We
have been insisting on these fundamentals from Thimpu to Thailand."
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Comment
5 The statement that though Sri Lanka "was ready to discuss the proposal with L.T.T.E., the insurgents called off further
participation in the talks
unless the government accepted the I.S.G.A. proposal first"
is factually incorrect.
The ISGA proposal was submitted by the
LTTE to Prime Minister Ranil Wickremasinghe's
government on
31 October 2003. The UNP led Ranil Wickremasinghe
government
responded immediately on 1 November 2003 and declared
that though the proposals "differ in fundamental respect"
from the proposals submitted by the government of Sri Lanka,
''the government is convinced that the way forward lies
through direct discussions of the issues arising from both
sets of proposals.'' The stage was set for a resumption of
talks.
On 1 November 2003, the European Union welcomed the
ISGA proposals as "an important step forward in the
peace process".
The US Embassy in Colombo declared that it " has taken
note of the LTTE's delivery of counterproposals made in
response to the Sri Lankan Government's interim
administration proposal for the North and East" and urged
"both parties to build on this step by resuming
negotiations in a timely manner..."
But, President Kumaratunga's Sri Lanka Freedom Party (SLFP)
rejected the
ISGA proposals and on 4 November 2003, within four days
of the LTTE proposals, the
President in the exercise of powers
vested in her under the 1978
constitution took over from the UNF
government which enjoyed a majority in
Parliament, the Ministries of Defense,
Interior and Media, which were directly
linked to the peace process, and
assigned the portfolios either to
herself or to nominees from within her
party.
At a Press Conference on 5 November 2003,
to explain his party’s reaction to the LTTE’s
suggestions,
Lakshman Kadirgamar, Adviser to President Kumaratunga
declared magisterially “We can in no way
consider the LTTE’s proposal".
Given the views expressed by the United
States and the European Union on the ISGA proposal as a
step forward in the peace process, and given the close
relations between the President and New Delhi, the question
will arise in many minds, whether President Kumaratunga acted in the way that she did
without (covert) support from New Delhi or at least
the expectation of such support.
In any case, the actions of President
Kumaratunga resulted in
the facilitator, the Norwegian
Government suspending its role in
November 2003, in view of the lack of
clarity in regard to who was responsible
for the peace process.
The Norwegian Deputy Foreign Minister declared on 14
November 2003 " Peace talks
could have started tomorrow, provided there was clarity
about who is holding political authority and responsibility
on behalf of the Government to ensure the continuation of
the ceasefire agreement and the resumption of peace
negotiations. Until last week there was such clarity.
Today
there is no such clarity. Until such clarity is
re-established, there is no space for further efforts by the
Norwegian government to assist the parties."
The ensuing stalemate
was followed with the
dissolution of the Sri Lanka Parliament, new
General elections in April 2004 and the
installation of a new Government. Here the intervention
of
Interfaith
International at the UN Sub Commission for the Protection of Human
Rights in August 2004, may also be helpful -
"...The international community was perhaps shocked at the decision of the
President the Hon. Chandrika Kumaratunga to dismiss key ministers and
dissolve the Parliament just at the very time when the peace process
with the Tamil LTTE was achieving results. These moves and the
subsequent elections virtually destroyed the peace process while at the
same time the LTTE or Tamil Tigers were showing a considerable openness
to seek a resolution to the conflict..." back |
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